When is Incumbency a crime? In 2012

Iran's president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad

Parties directly aligned with president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad have not fared well in the parliamentary elections. Photograph: Lucas Jackson/Reuters, Guardian, 5-5-12

Tomorrow the French will choose a president; much is being made about Sarkozy and his personality.  Critics are calling him an egotist, elitist and out of touch with the average French citizen; and of course he is being blamed for any economic problems France is experiencing.  His chances are not looking good today, although the polls have Hollande and Sarkozy close going into the vote.

In my mind, Sarkozy’s chances are not good for another reason – he is in office and that borders on being a crime in many places in 2012.  In Spain, Italy, Greece, Holland and England the party and people in power lost support in the latest elections; the governments did not all fall, but they are all much weaker now than before the poling.  The same phenomenon is taking place outside of Europe – in Asia, Africa and the Middle East.  One might even argue that all of the turmoil of the Arab Spring, or Arab Uprising or whatever you might call it, comes from the same source; like people all over the world who are dissatisfied with their current rulers, the Arabs are dissatisfied.  We like to think it is because of political freedom.  However, the root reasons are in the economy, just as they are here.  People without jobs, houses, food or hope for the future are discontent and that is true whether they live in Syria, Tunisia and Libya or they live in France, England, Spain and Greece.  Fix the economy and most of the turmoil and dissatisfaction will go away.

Even Iran is feeling the pressure; the ever popular, outspoken, thorn-in-the-side-of-the-west, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is suffering from the discontent of the voting population.  Ahmadinejad’s party lost a significant number of seats in parliament.  In analyzing the results of the French election in the next few days I am going to try and view it through a prism of the larger, global context.  And as we approach November, the global trend of political change driven by economic factors is one I will be considering.  In 2012, there is a general rule, if you are in office you are guilty of the pain caused by the economy.  Sorry, guys – the only way out is to fix the economy or in our case convince the voters you are in the process of fixing it and have things well in hand.  Good luck, it is not impossible, but is far from easy. To most voters, incumbency is simply a crime, the punishment for it is banishment from office.


0 Responses to “When is Incumbency a crime? In 2012”

  1. Leave a Comment

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s


This is a personal blog and the information in articles posted here represents my personal views. It does not necessarily represent the views of people, institutions or organizations that I may or may not be related with, and is not sponsored or endorsed by them unless stated explicitly. Comments and other public postings are the sole responsibility of their authors, and I shall not take any responsibility and liability for any libel or litigation that results from information written in or as a direct result of information written in a comment. All trademarks, copyrights, and registered names used or cited by this website are the property of their respective owners. I am not responsible for the contents or the reliability of any articles excerpted herein or linked websites and do not necessarily endorse the views expressed within them. I cannot guarantee that these links will work all of the time and have no control over the availability of the linked pages.


May 2012
« Apr   Jun »

%d bloggers like this: